FORECASTING THE EXPORT VOLUME OF THE KYZYLORDA REGION OF THE REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN

  • G. Aralbayeva Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Higher Education «Orenburg State University»
  • U. Berikbolova Korkyt Ata Kyzylorda University
DOI: https://doi.org/10.31618/ESU.2413-9335.2021.1.90.1451

Аннотация

The article presents the results of forecasting the export of the Kyzylorda region of the Republic of Kazakhstan. According to the article the export data of the Kyzylorda region of the Republic of Kazakhstan are characterized by an unstable trend. According to the article, since 2014 the region has experienced an annual decline in export volumes which is associated with a decrease in oil production due to the exhaustion of resources, as well as a drop in uranium production which is associated with the price situation. It is emphasized that at the same time, industrial production is being reoriented to other types of economic activities related to innovation, in particular, the export of ammonium metavanadate and other products started in 2016. It is stated that the forecast of export volume showed an increase in export volumes in the following years, due to an increase in investment in innovative products. The dynamics of investments in innovations in the Kyzylorda region is considered, a model is built and a forecast of the volume of investments in innovations is made.

Биография автора

U. Berikbolova , Korkyt Ata Kyzylorda University

Master of Economics, Senior Lecturer

Литература

1.Itogi social'no-jekonomicheskogo razvitija Kyzylordinskoj oblasti v 2019 godu. [The results of the socio-economic development of the Kyzylorda region in 2019] Rezhim dostupa [Available from]:
https://kzvesti.kz/kv/frontpage/45070-itogi-socialnoekonomicheskogo-razvitiya-kyzylordinskoy-oblasti-v2019-godu.html. (In Russ).
2.Kazakhstan Respublikasy Strategiyalyk zhosparlau zhyane reformalar agenttigi ulttyk statistika byurosy. [Agency for Strategic planning and reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan Bureau of National statistics] Rezhim dostupa [Available from]: https://stat.gov.kz/official/industry/11/statistic/6. (In Kazakh).
3.Polovnikov D.S., Kolpakov, I.Ju. Prilozhenija modeli avtoregressii i prointegrirovannogo skol'zjashhego srednego (ARPSS) v jekonomicheskih processah [Applications of the autoregression model and the integrated moving average (ARPSS) in economic processes] № 7. Fundamental'nye issledovanija [Fundamental Research]; 2020. p. 90-95. (In Russ).
4.Semenova V.P. Primenenie programmnogo produkta GRETL v statisticheskih issledovanijah. [Application of the GRETL software product in statistical research] № 2. Sinergija Nauk [Synergy of Sciences]; 2016. p. 56-77. (In Russ).
Опубликован
2021-10-10
Как цитировать
Aralbayeva , G., и U. Berikbolova. 2021. «FORECASTING THE EXPORT VOLUME OF THE KYZYLORDA REGION OF THE REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN ». EurasianUnionScientists, октябрь, 3-6. https://doi.org/10.31618/ESU.2413-9335.2021.1.90.1451.
Выпуск
ЕВРАЗИЙСКИЙ СОЮЗ УЧЕНЫХ. СЕРИЯ: ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ И ЮРИДИЧЕСКИЕ НАУКИ. ТОМ 1 №9 (90) (2021)
Раздел
Статьи

CC BY-ND

Эта лицензия позволяет свободно распространять произведение, как на коммерческой, так некоммерческой основе, при этом работа должна оставаться неизменной и обязательно должно указываться авторство.